Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001714 0.001820 0.001930 0.002052 0.002184 0.002323 0.002480
2025-03-23 0.001544 0.001691 0.001850 0.002033 0.002240 0.002467 0.002736
2025-03-30 0.001430 0.001603 0.001795 0.002024 0.002292 0.002597 0.002972
2025-04-06 0.001329 0.001519 0.001733 0.001996 0.002311 0.002681 0.003151
2025-04-13 0.001244 0.001443 0.001674 0.001962 0.002317 0.002742 0.003299
2025-04-20 0.001152 0.001354 0.001590 0.001892 0.002270 0.002735 0.003356
2025-04-27 0.001116 0.001328 0.001582 0.001911 0.002332 0.002860 0.003586
2025-05-04 0.001095 0.001319 0.001591 0.001951 0.002421 0.003023 0.003871
2025-05-11 0.001084 0.001321 0.001614 0.002007 0.002531 0.003218 0.004209
2025-05-18 0.001056 0.001300 0.001606 0.002023 0.002588 0.003343 0.004456
2025-05-25 0.001009 0.001252 0.001560 0.001986 0.002570 0.003364 0.004556
2025-06-01 0.000968 0.001212 0.001523 0.001957 0.002562 0.003396 0.004673
2025-06-08 0.000936 0.001183 0.001502 0.001955 0.002597 0.003499 0.004912
2025-06-15 0.000898 0.001145 0.001469 0.001934 0.002604 0.003563 0.005099
2025-06-22 0.000868 0.001116 0.001446 0.001926 0.002628 0.003651 0.005329
2025-06-29 0.000833 0.001080 0.001411 0.001898 0.002622 0.003695 0.005489
2025-07-06 0.000799 0.001044 0.001374 0.001867 0.002607 0.003723 0.005624
2025-07-13 0.000757 0.000993 0.001316 0.001801 0.002538 0.003662 0.005607
2025-07-20 0.000743 0.000984 0.001314 0.001818 0.002596 0.003803 0.005939
2025-07-27 0.000737 0.000983 0.001327 0.001856 0.002687 0.004001 0.006384
2025-08-03 0.000735 0.000990 0.001348 0.001909 0.002803 0.004247 0.006935
2025-08-10 0.000723 0.000980 0.001345 0.001924 0.002859 0.004396 0.007320
2025-08-17 0.000697 0.000950 0.001311 0.001889 0.002832 0.004401 0.007436